Master Rating — Track Record

Jackpot Racing · Racing Intelligence

The Master Rating gives every runner in every GB & Irish race a win probability and a fair price. It is built from form, race times, in-running comments, trainer form, draw, pedigree and past market history — it never looks at today's prices, so it's an independent second opinion to set against the exchange. This page shows how accurate those probabilities have been. No tips, no cherry-picking: every rated race counts.

Live record since 1 Oct 2026

Updated automatically as results come in.

Walk-forward test

Mar–Sep 2026. Each month was rated by a model trained only on races before it — no hindsight.

How to read this

• Calibration is the point. When Master says 25%, those horses should win about 25% of the time. If the gold bars track the grey ones, the probabilities can be trusted — and a trusted probability is what lets you judge whether an exchange price is too big or too small.
• The favourite wins more often than our top pick — by design. Master doesn't use today's market. Its job isn't to find the favourite; it's to price every runner independently, so you can see where it disagrees with the market.
• Top pick and top-3 show how often the winner was Master's highest-rated horse, and how often it was one of its top three. "Random" is what picking a runner at random would achieve in the same races.
• The live record starts small and grows every racing day. The walk-forward test covers thousands of races; the live record is the ongoing proof.
• Accuracy isn't profit. A well-calibrated rating doesn't make backing its top pick profitable — the market is sharp. It's a tool for comparing your own view, and the market's, against an independent number.